● This weekJune 4–7, 2026 · Dublin, OH

the Memorial Tournament

Muirfield Village Golf Club · Par 72 · 7,569 yds · Jack Nicklaus (1974)

“Jack's masterpiece — a major in everything but name.”

Course rating

Slope

145

Greens

Bentgrass

Water

13 holes

● The quick read30-second briefing

Muirfield Village is the closest a non-major gets to major conditions: firm, fast bentgrass greens, narrow tree-lined fairways, water in play on most of the back nine, and a finishing stretch built to swing a tournament. Winning scores cluster in the −8 to −13 range and reward the same skill stack as a U.S. Open prep week — elite ball-striking, distance control on approaches, and survival on the par 3s. The course history list at Memorial is short and repeats: Nicklaus designed it for shotmakers and that's who keeps winning.

● What wins here

1Strokes Gained: Approach (firm, fast greens)
2Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green (overall ball-striking)
3Driving accuracy (tree-lined corridors)
4Putting (bentgrass speed control)
5Around-the-green scrambling

Course history · your field

DataGolf · last 5 yrs

Players in this week's field ranked by average Strokes Gained: Total in their prior the Memorial Tournament starts. Repeat performers — not single-week heroics — surface to the top.

#	Player	Avg SG	Rounds	Best	Years
1	Scottie Scheffler	+3.57	16	1	4
2	Collin Morikawa	+2.30	17	2	5
3	Maverick McNealy	+1.87	4	T5	1
4	Patrick Cantlay	+1.85	18	1	5
5	Si Woo Kim	+1.63	20	4	5
6	Ludvig Aberg	+1.60	8	T5	2
7	Xander Schauffele	+1.43	20	T8	5
8	Jordan Spieth	+1.41	18	T5	5
9	Sungjae Im	+1.17	18	T8	5
10	Sepp Straka	+1.06	18	3	5
11	Nick Taylor	+0.99	12	4	3
12	Tommy Fleetwood	+0.98	8	T16	2

Aggregated from DataGolf historical rounds. Players with fewer than 4 rounds at the event are shown but ranked the same way — read low-sample lines accordingly.

● Driving distance tiers

Elite drivers310+ yards

Top-40 Tour drivers. Distance helps on the long par 4s (10, 13, 17) and the reachable par 5s (5, 11, 15), but Muirfield's tree corridors punish a missed line — distance without accuracy isn't a true edge here.

Rory McIlroyLudvig AbergAldrich Potgieter

Avg approach171.5 yds

Per round3,087 yds

−6 to −13 (winning range −10 to −13)

Find fairways, take the look on the reachable par 5s, and hit the long par 4s with controllable mid-irons. The bonus distance only matters if it stays between the trees.

Mid-tier drivers295–310 yards

Top 40–100 in driving distance. Pays roughly +180 approach yards a round vs elite — a ~1.5-stroke premium on this course because mid-iron precision is the dominant skill anyway.

Scottie SchefflerPatrick CantlayViktor Hovland

Avg approach183.2 yds

Per round3,297 yds

−4 to −10 (legitimate winning tier with elite irons — Scheffler/Cantlay/Hovland zone)

Iron play decides it. Mid-tier ball-strikers like Scheffler / Cantlay / Hovland have won here repeatedly without leading the field in distance — they led in approach.

Shorter drivers≤ 295 yards

Outside top-100 in driving distance. ~300 yards a round of extra approach work — a ~2.5-stroke tax on a course where every iron is into a firm bentgrass green. Margin for error is thin.

Russell HenleyBrian Harman

Avg approach191.2 yds

Per round3,442 yds

E to −6 (top-20 ceiling on a hot iron week)

Elite mid-to-long iron play. Short hitters with cold approaches struggle; short hitters with hot mid-irons can crack the top-15.

● Hole-by-hole approach distances

18 holes · 3 driver tiers · marked penalty / opportunity

Hole	Par	Yds	Elite	Mid	Bottom	Notes
#1	4	490	1806i / 5i	1955i	2055i / 4i	Demanding 490-yard par-4 opener. Mid-to-long iron in to a firm green — a 4 is a strong start, no opening softball here.
#2	4	459	1498i / 7i	1647i	1746i	Full-iron par 4. Fairway is essential to hold a firm bentgrass green; distance off the tee buys nothing.
#3	4	392	82SW / PW	97PW	107PW / 9i	First real scoring chance. Short par 4 with a wedge / short-iron approach for the whole field — leaders convert, the rest leak strokes here.
#4	3	210	2105i / 4i	2105i / 4i	2105i / 4i	Demanding 210-yard par 3 — same shot for everyone. Center of green is the play; the miss long or right brings bogey into the picture. Green was rebuilt in 2021 with more receptive contours.
#5	5	547	2373w / hybrid	2523w	2623w	Reachable par 5 for the long hitters and a comfortable layup for the rest. Front-nine scoring hole — make 4.
#6	4	455	1458i / 7i	1607i	1706i	Mid-length par 4. Mid-iron in — fair, but a missed fairway is rough-rescue with limited spin control on a firm green.
#7	5	582	1309i / 8i	1458i / 7i	1607i	Scoring chance for everyone — convert a 4.
#8	3	200	2006i / 5i	2006i / 5i	2006i / 5i	200-yard par 3, same for everyone. Center the green — the miss into the bunkers brings bogey in.
#9	4	417	107PW / 9i	1229i	1329i / 8i	Short-iron par 4 to close the front. Wedge / short iron in for the field — a real birdie chance before the turn.
#10	4	472	1627i	1776i	1875i / hybrid	Brutal par-4 opener for the back. Long iron / hybrid for shorter hitters — par is gaining ground.
#11	5	588	2783w / hybrid	2933w	3033w / layup	Back-nine scoring hole #1 — make your 4.
#12	3	180	1807i / 6i	1807i / 6i	1807i / 6i	Water short — bogey in play on a windy day.
#13	4	455	1458i / 7i	1607i	1706i	Mid-long par 4 — fairway essential, full iron in. Defensive hole; par is gaining ground.
#14	4	360	50SW	65SW	75SW / PW	Sunday gamble hole — wedge looks reward the brave tee shot.
#15	5	561	2513w / hybrid	2663w	2763w	Back-nine scoring hole #2 — eagle in play for the long.
#16	3	218	2185i / 4i	2185i / 4i	2185i / 4i	Hardest par 3 on the course — par is gaining strokes.
#17	4	503	1935i / hybrid	208hybrid / 5w	218hybrid / 5w	Toughest par 4 on the course — Sunday par gains 0.4+ strokes.
#18	4	480	1706i	1856i / 5i	1955i	Sunday drama hole — water in play on both shots; bogey decides tournaments.

#1Par 4 · 490y

Elite

180

6i / 5i

Mid

195

Bottom

205

5i / 4i

Demanding 490-yard par-4 opener. Mid-to-long iron in to a firm green — a 4 is a strong start, no opening softball here.

#2Par 4 · 459y

Elite

149

8i / 7i

Mid

164

Bottom

174

Full-iron par 4. Fairway is essential to hold a firm bentgrass green; distance off the tee buys nothing.

#3Par 4 · 392y

Elite

SW / PW

Mid

Bottom

107

PW / 9i

First real scoring chance. Short par 4 with a wedge / short-iron approach for the whole field — leaders convert, the rest leak strokes here.

#4Par 3 · 210y

Elite

210

5i / 4i

Mid

210

5i / 4i

Bottom

210

5i / 4i

Demanding 210-yard par 3 — same shot for everyone. Center of green is the play; the miss long or right brings bogey into the picture. Green was rebuilt in 2021 with more receptive contours.

#5Par 5 · 547y

Elite

237

3w / hybrid

Mid

252

Bottom

262

Reachable par 5 for the long hitters and a comfortable layup for the rest. Front-nine scoring hole — make 4.

#6Par 4 · 455y

Elite

145

8i / 7i

Mid

160

Bottom

170

Mid-length par 4. Mid-iron in — fair, but a missed fairway is rough-rescue with limited spin control on a firm green.

#7Par 5 · 582y

Elite

130

9i / 8i

Mid

145

8i / 7i

Bottom

160

Scoring chance for everyone — convert a 4. · Long 582-yard par 5 — reachable for elite drivers off a perfect line, comfortable 3-shotter for the rest. Either way the field gets a real birdie look on the third.

#8Par 3 · 200y

Elite

200

6i / 5i

Mid

200

6i / 5i

Bottom

200

6i / 5i

200-yard par 3, same for everyone. Center the green — the miss into the bunkers brings bogey in.

#9Par 4 · 417y

Elite

107

PW / 9i

Mid

122

Bottom

132

9i / 8i

Short-iron par 4 to close the front. Wedge / short iron in for the field — a real birdie chance before the turn.

#10Par 4 · 472y

Elite

162

Mid

177

Bottom

187

5i / hybrid

Brutal par-4 opener for the back. Long iron / hybrid for shorter hitters — par is gaining ground.

#11Par 5 · 588y

Elite

278

3w / hybrid

Mid

293

Bottom

303

3w / layup

Back-nine scoring hole #1 — make your 4. · Reachable for elite drivers off a perfect tee shot, longer 3-shotter for the rest. Either way the field's best back-nine scoring chance — convert.

#12Par 3 · 180y

Elite

180

7i / 6i

Mid

180

7i / 6i

Bottom

180

7i / 6i

Water short — bogey in play on a windy day. · Mid par 3 over water — wind off the pond firms up distance control. Center pin, exit at par.

#13Par 4 · 455y

Elite

145

8i / 7i

Mid

160

Bottom

170

Mid-long par 4 — fairway essential, full iron in. Defensive hole; par is gaining ground.

#14Par 4 · 360y

Elite

Mid

Bottom

SW / PW

Sunday gamble hole — wedge looks reward the brave tee shot. · Short 360-yard par 4 — driver tempts everyone, creek crosses ~270 out. Aggressive line leaves a wedge; the tournament's signature risk/reward.

#15Par 5 · 561y

Elite

251

3w / hybrid

Mid

266

Bottom

276

Back-nine scoring hole #2 — eagle in play for the long. · Reachable par 5 with water guarding the green — go-for-it for the bombers, lay up for placement otherwise. Make 4.

#16Par 3 · 218y

Elite

218

5i / 4i

Mid

218

5i / 4i

Bottom

218

5i / 4i

Hardest par 3 on the course — par is gaining strokes. · Long 218-yard par 3 — same hard shot for all. Bunkers right, water short and left; this is where rounds quietly turn.

#17Par 4 · 503y

Elite

193

5i / hybrid

Mid

208

hybrid / 5w

Bottom

218

hybrid / 5w

Toughest par 4 on the course — Sunday par gains 0.4+ strokes. · Monster 503-yard par 4 — long iron / hybrid in for everyone, among the hardest par 4s on Tour. Par here Sunday is a major win.

#18Par 4 · 480y

Elite

170

Mid

185

6i / 5i

Bottom

195

Sunday drama hole — water in play on both shots; bogey decides tournaments. · Iconic Nicklaus finisher — 480-yard par 4 with creek down the left of the fairway and water front of the green, grandstand framing the back. Mid-long iron in to a tucked green — par is a Sunday win.

●Penalty holes

Long par 4s — 200+ yard approaches for shorter hitters

#10

Par 4 · 472y

#12

Par 3 · 180y

#16

Par 3 · 218y

#17

Par 4 · 503y

●Opportunity holes

Wedge approaches + par 5s — birdie targets across all tiers

Par 4 · 392y

Par 5 · 547y

Par 5 · 582y

Par 4 · 417y

#11

Par 5 · 588y

#14

Par 4 · 360y

#15

Par 5 · 561y

● Betting angles

Fit

Back proven Memorial form

Few courses on Tour repeat winners and contenders like Muirfield Village — Scheffler, Cantlay, Hovland, Tiger historically. Course history here is one of the few signals that consistently survives the noise. Weight Memorial-specific finishes heavily in your model.

Fit

Lean on elite Strokes Gained: Approach

Firm, fast bentgrass greens force precise distance control; the long par 4s (1, 2, 10, 13, 17) demand full-iron approaches into small targets. Top-20 SG: APP players win this event, almost without exception. Build outright and top-10 cards around iron play, not power.

Fade

Fade pure distance without accuracy

Tree-lined corridors and small, firm greens mean a 320-yard drive in the rough is a worse position than a 290-yard drive in the fairway. Long but spray-prone drivers consistently underperform their odds here.

Prop

Par-3 bogey-or-worse props on 4, 12, 16

Three demanding par 3s with water and wind in play. Bogey-or-worse props on the long par 3s (especially 16) carry edge over the field, and 'O 0.5 bogeys on hole X' specifically is a clean angle in an afternoon wave.

Prop

Reachable-par-5 birdies-or-better leans over

Holes 5, 11, and 15 are the field's three best birdie chances. R1-R4 birdies-or-better counts of 2+ in any round are well-priced unders relative to base rate on this course's par 5s.

General

Sunday 14 is the swing hole

Short par 4 with a creek that crosses ~270 — the leaders' decision tree changes by Sunday. Watch the tee shot strategy on 14 as a live signal: aggressive lines from chasers, conservative from leaders.

● Verdict

Muirfield Village is a ball-striker's course masquerading as a complete test. The list of repeat contenders is short and predictable — Scheffler, Cantlay, Hovland, and the Memorial-form-veterans — because the conditions reward precise mid-iron play above almost everything else. Build outright cards around elite SG: Approach with course history; fade pure distance without accuracy; and expect a winning score in the −10 to −13 range, settled on the back nine.

→ Action

Upload your the Memorial Tournament slip

Drop a screenshot — we parse the legs, classify the markets, and start grading them live the moment the tournament tees off Thursday.

→ Live tracker

Watch the ticket move

Round-narrowed matchups, 3-ball standings, top-N cutoff, hole trails — all wired to the live ESPN scoreboard.