“A precision par-70 where water and iron control decide it, not raw distance.”
TPC Southwind is a tight, tree-lined par 70 with penalty water lurking on the par 3s (7 and 15) and a demanding closing stretch. The premium is on approach play and stress-free ball-striking — elite iron players average just 136.9 yards per approach here versus 156.3 for the bottom tier. Target players who scramble and hit greens over bombers; birdie chances are concentrated at 5, 6, 14, 16 and 17, so look for scoring where the yardages soften. Bentgrass greens reward putters comfortable on a different surface than the Bermuda circuit.
Elite ball-strikers who keep it in play off the tee and leave short irons — averaging 136.9 yards per approach, nearly 20 yards closer than the bottom tier.
Attack the opportunity holes (5, 6, 14, 16, 17) with wedges while playing the par 3s and closing par 4s for pars.
Solid all-around players sitting at 147 yards per approach — competitive but leaving more mid-irons into firm bentgrass.
Convert the reachable scoring holes and avoid the double-bogey traps at 7 and 15; scrambling has to carry weeks when the driver wobbles.
Longer, less precise types stuck at 156.3 yards per approach — the distance edge means little on a par 70 that punishes wayward tee balls.
Survive the penalty stretch and grind pars; this profile struggles to keep pace as the accuracy premium compounds.
| Hole | Par | Yds | Elite | Mid | Bottom | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 4 | 452 | 1379i / 8i | 1508i / 7i | 1627i / 6i | Length here separates approach quality by 25 yards top-to-bottom. |
| #2 | 4 | 428 | 113PW / 9i | 1269i / 8i | 1389i / 8i | 428 yards leaving a short-to-mid iron (113/126/138). Manageable, but not a designated birdie hole — take four and move on. |
| #3 | 3 | 193 | 1936i / 5i | 1936i / 5i | 1936i / 5i | Distance tier gives no edge on the par 3s — all fixed yardages. |
| #4 | 4 | 471 | 1568i / 7i | 1697i / 6i | 1816i / 5i | One of the toughest holes on the card — protect your card. |
| #5 | 5 | 540 | 95PW / 9i | 108PW / 9i | 1209i / 8i | Prime scoring hole; a 60-yard approach gap between elite and bottom tiers. |
| #6 | 4 | 421 | 106PW / 9i | 1199i / 8i | 1319i / 8i | 421-yard opportunity hole with a wedge in (106/119/131). Take dead aim and expect birdie chances. |
| #7 | 3 | 209 | 2095i / 4i | 2095i / 4i | 2095i / 4i | First of the two penalty par 3s that swing weekends. |
| #8 | 4 | 461 | 1468i / 7i | 1598i / 7i | 1717i / 6i | 461 yards with a mid-iron approach (146/159/171). Long and demanding — play for the fat of the green. |
| #9 | 4 | 435 | 1209i / 8i | 1339i / 8i | 1458i / 7i | 435-yard turn hole leaving a short-mid iron (120/133/145). Neutral — take a stress-free par into the back nine. |
| #10 | 4 | 445 | 1309i / 8i | 1438i / 7i | 1558i / 7i | 445 yards, mid-iron in (130/143/155). A steady par restarts the round without incident. |
| #11 | 4 | 468 | 1538i / 7i | 1667i / 6i | 1787i / 6i | 468-yard grinder with a long approach (153/166/178). One of the hardest holes coming home — respect it. |
| #12 | 3 | 173 | 1737i / 6i | 1737i / 6i | 1737i / 6i | 173-yard par 3, the shortest one-shotter. Best birdie look of the par 3s — aim at tucked flags with confidence. |
| #13 | 4 | 434 | 1199i / 8i | 1329i / 8i | 1448i / 7i | 434 yards leaving a short-mid iron (119/132/144). Neutral hole — a par keeps momentum. |
| #14 | 4 | 400 | 85SW / PW | 98PW / 9i | 110PW / 9i | Elite tier has just 85 yards in — expect red numbers. |
| #15 | 3 | 218 | 2185i / 4i | 2185i / 4i | 2185i / 4i | Card-wrecker — the toughest tee shot on the course. |
| #16 | 5 | 528 | 105PW / 9i | 1189i / 8i | 1309i / 8i | Late scoring chance before the brutal finish. |
| #17 | 4 | 380 | 65SW / PW | 78SW / PW | 90PW / 9i | Shortest par 4 on the property — huge birdie-conversion hole. |
| #18 | 4 | 456 | 1418i / 7i | 1548i / 7i | 1667i / 6i | Demanding, penalty-adjacent closer — nerves and precision both tested. |
Long par 4s — 200+ yard approaches for shorter hitters
Wedge approaches + par 5s — birdie targets across all tiers
On a 7,112-yard par 70 where elite approach players sit at 136.9 yards per shot, distance off the tee is largely wasted. Prioritize proximity and greens-in-regulation profiles over driving distance.
Bottom-tier drivers face 156.3 yards per approach and grind tight tree-lined corridors all week. Bombers without a control gear or short game struggle to keep pace — fade the pure-power plays.
The 209-yard 7th and 218-yard 15th are both flagged penalty holes over water. Bogey-or-worse rates spike here — lean into over/under and bogey props on the penalty par 3s.
Holes 5, 6, 14, 16 and 17 are all opportunity-flagged with wedge or short-iron approaches (as short as 65-110 yards). Players who convert this cluster while surviving the par 3s post the low weeks.
Southwind's bentgrass greens differ from much of the Bermuda-heavy summer swing. Weight recent bentgrass putting form — it's a quiet differentiator on a course where scoring windows are tight.
TPC Southwind is a shot-maker's par 70 — tight, water-guarded, and built to reward the field's best iron players over its longest hitters. Fade raw distance, back precision and scrambling, and respect the penalty par 3s (7 and 15) as weekly swing points. Winners will milk the opportunity holes and grind pars through the brutal 4-11-15-18 stretch.
Drop a screenshot — we parse the legs, classify the markets, and start grading them live the moment the tournament tees off Thursday.
Round-narrowed matchups, 3-ball standings, top-N cutoff, hole trails — all wired to the live ESPN scoreboard.