Sepp StrakaEV +784.1%
Model
7.0%
Best
+12500 DK
Implied
0.8%
Edge
+6.2%
● Model edgeLive oddsDataGolf model
TOUR Championship
The DataGolf model's probability against the best price on the board. EV% is your expected return per $1 staked at that price — anything green is a positive-EV bet the market is mispricing. Sorted best-EV first.
| Player | Model | Best price | Implied | Edge | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sepp Straka | 7.0% | +12500 DK | 0.8% | +6.2% | +784.1% |
| Bud Cauley | 14.4% | +5800 DK | 1.7% | +12.7% | +751.3% |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | 16.0% | +4500 FD | 2.2% | +13.8% | +636.7% |
| Kurt Kitayama | 19.8% | +1900 FD | 5.0% | +14.8% | +296.6% |
| Tom Kim | 19.6% | +1900 FD | 5.0% | +14.6% | +292.1% |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 26.7% | +1300 FD | 7.1% | +19.6% | +273.7% |
| Ryan Fox | 11.0% | +2700 DK | 3.6% | +7.5% | +208.8% |
| Sahith Theegala | 6.9% | +4000 FD | 2.4% | +4.5% | +183.6% |
| Alex Noren | 13.2% | +1900 FD | 5.0% | +8.2% | +163.6% |
| Viktor Hovland | 26.3% | +900 FD | 10.0% | +16.3% | +163.4% |
| Rickie Fowler | 14.3% | +1700 FD | 5.6% | +8.8% | +158.2% |
| Cameron Young | 33.3% | +650 FD | 13.3% | +20.0% | +150.0% |
| Sam Burns | 31.3% | +560 DK | 15.2% | +16.1% | +106.3% |
| Scottie Scheffler | 65.0% | +215 DK | 31.7% | +33.3% | +104.9% |
| Ryan Gerard | 20.5% | +880 DK | 10.2% | +10.3% | +100.7% |
| Si Woo Kim | 30.3% | +510 DK | 16.4% | +13.9% | +85.1% |
| J.T. Poston | 8.6% | +1900 FD | 5.0% | +3.6% | +72.0% |
| Xander Schauffele | 38.2% | +350 DK | 22.2% | +15.9% | +71.7% |
| Justin Rose | 15.1% | +850 FD | 10.5% | +4.6% | +43.4% |
| Min Woo Lee | 21.6% | +550 FD | 15.4% | +6.2% | +40.6% |
| Alex Smalley | 14.7% | +850 FD | 10.5% | +4.2% | +39.9% |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 34.2% | +300 FD | 25.0% | +9.2% | +36.9% |
| Matt McCarty | 4.8% | +2700 FD | 3.6% | +1.3% | +35.5% |
| Michael Brennan | 16.1% | +650 FD | 13.3% | +2.8% | +20.8% |
| Nico Echavarria | 8.0% | +1400 FD | 6.7% | +1.4% | +20.4% |
| Collin Morikawa | 24.1% | +300 FD | 25.0% | -0.9% | -3.7% |
| Ben Griffin | 19.0% | +395 DK | 20.2% | -1.2% | -5.8% |
| Robert MacIntyre | 14.9% | +500 FD | 16.7% | -1.7% | -10.4% |
| Adam Scott | 15.7% | +430 FD | 18.9% | -3.1% | -16.6% |
| Aaron Rai | 9.0% | +750 FD | 11.8% | -2.8% | -23.7% |
| Justin Thomas | 24.3% | +210 FD | 32.3% | -8.0% | -24.7% |
| Ludvig Aberg | 38.2% | -110 FD | 52.4% | -14.2% | -27.1% |
| Patrick Cantlay | 26.1% | +162 DK | 38.2% | -12.1% | -31.7% |
| Kristoffer Reitan | 13.9% | +380 FD | 20.8% | -6.9% | -33.1% |
| Maverick McNealy | 19.8% | +235 DK | 29.9% | -10.1% | -33.7% |
| Russell Henley | 18.9% | +230 FD | 30.3% | -11.4% | -37.7% |
| Jake Knapp | 18.8% | +230 FD | 30.3% | -11.5% | -37.8% |
| Sungjae Im | 15.0% | +300 FD | 25.0% | -10.0% | -40.0% |
| Eric Cole | 9.1% | +520 DK | 16.1% | -7.0% | -43.3% |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 32.7% | -144 DK | 59.0% | -26.3% | -44.5% |
| Michael Thorbjornsen | 20.5% | +164 DK | 37.9% | -17.4% | -45.8% |
| Alex Fitzpatrick | 14.3% | +255 CZR | 28.2% | -13.9% | -49.2% |
| Rory McIlroy | 36.8% | -285 DK | 74.0% | -37.2% | -50.2% |
| Akshay Bhatia | 8.9% | +435 DK | 18.7% | -9.8% | -52.6% |
| Chris Gotterup | 28.8% | -178 DK | 64.0% | -35.3% | -55.1% |
| Jacob Bridgeman | 12.9% | +230 FD | 30.3% | -17.4% | -57.4% |
| Wyndham Clark | 21.4% | -156 DK | 60.9% | -39.5% | -64.8% |
| J.J. Spaun | 18.5% | -115 FD | 53.5% | -35.0% | -65.4% |
| Ryo Hisatsune | 10.0% | +210 DK | 32.3% | -22.2% | -68.9% |
| Gary Woodland | 10.9% | +112 DK | 47.2% | -36.3% | -76.9% |
Bud CauleyEV +751.3%
Model
14.4%
Best
+5800 DK
Implied
1.7%
Edge
+12.7%
Nicolai HojgaardEV +636.7%
Model
16.0%
Best
+4500 FD
Implied
2.2%
Edge
+13.8%
Kurt KitayamaEV +296.6%
Model
19.8%
Best
+1900 FD
Implied
5.0%
Edge
+14.8%
Tom KimEV +292.1%
Model
19.6%
Best
+1900 FD
Implied
5.0%
Edge
+14.6%
Hideki MatsuyamaEV +273.7%
Model
26.7%
Best
+1300 FD
Implied
7.1%
Edge
+19.6%
Ryan FoxEV +208.8%
Model
11.0%
Best
+2700 DK
Implied
3.6%
Edge
+7.5%
Sahith TheegalaEV +183.6%
Model
6.9%
Best
+4000 FD
Implied
2.4%
Edge
+4.5%
Alex NorenEV +163.6%
Model
13.2%
Best
+1900 FD
Implied
5.0%
Edge
+8.2%
Viktor HovlandEV +163.4%
Model
26.3%
Best
+900 FD
Implied
10.0%
Edge
+16.3%
Rickie FowlerEV +158.2%
Model
14.3%
Best
+1700 FD
Implied
5.6%
Edge
+8.8%
Cameron YoungEV +150.0%
Model
33.3%
Best
+650 FD
Implied
13.3%
Edge
+20.0%
Sam BurnsEV +106.3%
Model
31.3%
Best
+560 DK
Implied
15.2%
Edge
+16.1%
Scottie SchefflerEV +104.9%
Model
65.0%
Best
+215 DK
Implied
31.7%
Edge
+33.3%
Ryan GerardEV +100.7%
Model
20.5%
Best
+880 DK
Implied
10.2%
Edge
+10.3%
Si Woo KimEV +85.1%
Model
30.3%
Best
+510 DK
Implied
16.4%
Edge
+13.9%
J.T. PostonEV +72.0%
Model
8.6%
Best
+1900 FD
Implied
5.0%
Edge
+3.6%
Xander SchauffeleEV +71.7%
Model
38.2%
Best
+350 DK
Implied
22.2%
Edge
+15.9%
Justin RoseEV +43.4%
Model
15.1%
Best
+850 FD
Implied
10.5%
Edge
+4.6%
Min Woo LeeEV +40.6%
Model
21.6%
Best
+550 FD
Implied
15.4%
Edge
+6.2%
Alex SmalleyEV +39.9%
Model
14.7%
Best
+850 FD
Implied
10.5%
Edge
+4.2%
Tommy FleetwoodEV +36.9%
Model
34.2%
Best
+300 FD
Implied
25.0%
Edge
+9.2%
Matt McCartyEV +35.5%
Model
4.8%
Best
+2700 FD
Implied
3.6%
Edge
+1.3%
Michael BrennanEV +20.8%
Model
16.1%
Best
+650 FD
Implied
13.3%
Edge
+2.8%
Nico EchavarriaEV +20.4%
Model
8.0%
Best
+1400 FD
Implied
6.7%
Edge
+1.4%
Collin MorikawaEV -3.7%
Model
24.1%
Best
+300 FD
Implied
25.0%
Edge
-0.9%
Ben GriffinEV -5.8%
Model
19.0%
Best
+395 DK
Implied
20.2%
Edge
-1.2%
Robert MacIntyreEV -10.4%
Model
14.9%
Best
+500 FD
Implied
16.7%
Edge
-1.7%
Adam ScottEV -16.6%
Model
15.7%
Best
+430 FD
Implied
18.9%
Edge
-3.1%
Aaron RaiEV -23.7%
Model
9.0%
Best
+750 FD
Implied
11.8%
Edge
-2.8%
Justin ThomasEV -24.7%
Model
24.3%
Best
+210 FD
Implied
32.3%
Edge
-8.0%
Ludvig AbergEV -27.1%
Model
38.2%
Best
-110 FD
Implied
52.4%
Edge
-14.2%
Patrick CantlayEV -31.7%
Model
26.1%
Best
+162 DK
Implied
38.2%
Edge
-12.1%
Kristoffer ReitanEV -33.1%
Model
13.9%
Best
+380 FD
Implied
20.8%
Edge
-6.9%
Maverick McNealyEV -33.7%
Model
19.8%
Best
+235 DK
Implied
29.9%
Edge
-10.1%
Russell HenleyEV -37.7%
Model
18.9%
Best
+230 FD
Implied
30.3%
Edge
-11.4%
Jake KnappEV -37.8%
Model
18.8%
Best
+230 FD
Implied
30.3%
Edge
-11.5%
Sungjae ImEV -40.0%
Model
15.0%
Best
+300 FD
Implied
25.0%
Edge
-10.0%
Eric ColeEV -43.3%
Model
9.1%
Best
+520 DK
Implied
16.1%
Edge
-7.0%
Matt FitzpatrickEV -44.5%
Model
32.7%
Best
-144 DK
Implied
59.0%
Edge
-26.3%
Michael ThorbjornsenEV -45.8%
Model
20.5%
Best
+164 DK
Implied
37.9%
Edge
-17.4%
Alex FitzpatrickEV -49.2%
Model
14.3%
Best
+255 CZR
Implied
28.2%
Edge
-13.9%
Rory McIlroyEV -50.2%
Model
36.8%
Best
-285 DK
Implied
74.0%
Edge
-37.2%
Akshay BhatiaEV -52.6%
Model
8.9%
Best
+435 DK
Implied
18.7%
Edge
-9.8%
Chris GotterupEV -55.1%
Model
28.8%
Best
-178 DK
Implied
64.0%
Edge
-35.3%
Jacob BridgemanEV -57.4%
Model
12.9%
Best
+230 FD
Implied
30.3%
Edge
-17.4%
Wyndham ClarkEV -64.8%
Model
21.4%
Best
-156 DK
Implied
60.9%
Edge
-39.5%
J.J. SpaunEV -65.4%
Model
18.5%
Best
-115 FD
Implied
53.5%
Edge
-35.0%
Ryo HisatsuneEV -68.9%
Model
10.0%
Best
+210 DK
Implied
32.3%
Edge
-22.2%
Gary WoodlandEV -76.9%
Model
10.9%
Best
+112 DK
Implied
47.2%
Edge
-36.3%