Sepp StrakaEV +362.6%
Model
20.1%
Best
+2200 DK
Implied
4.3%
Edge
+15.8%
● Model edgeLive oddsDataGolf model
TOUR Championship
The DataGolf model's probability against the best price on the board. EV% is your expected return per $1 staked at that price — anything green is a positive-EV bet the market is mispricing. Sorted best-EV first.
| Player | Model | Best price | Implied | Edge | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sepp Straka | 20.1% | +2200 DK | 4.3% | +15.8% | +362.6% |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | 35.6% | +1100 FD | 8.3% | +27.3% | +327.3% |
| Bud Cauley | 33.2% | +1125 DK | 8.2% | +25.1% | +307.3% |
| Tom Kim | 41.4% | +550 FD | 15.4% | +26.0% | +168.9% |
| Kurt Kitayama | 41.2% | +500 FD | 16.7% | +24.5% | +147.0% |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 50.4% | +340 FD | 22.7% | +27.7% | +121.7% |
| Sahith Theegala | 19.8% | +1000 FD | 9.1% | +10.8% | +118.3% |
| Ryan Fox | 28.0% | +650 FD | 13.3% | +14.7% | +110.0% |
| Alex Noren | 32.1% | +500 FD | 16.7% | +15.4% | +92.6% |
| Rickie Fowler | 33.2% | +430 FD | 18.9% | +14.3% | +76.0% |
| Viktor Hovland | 49.7% | +250 FD | 28.6% | +21.1% | +74.0% |
| Cameron Young | 56.9% | +190 FD | 34.5% | +22.4% | +65.1% |
| Ryan Gerard | 42.7% | +240 DK | 29.4% | +13.3% | +45.2% |
| Sam Burns | 55.2% | +162 DK | 38.2% | +17.0% | +44.6% |
| Scottie Scheffler | 84.0% | -150 DK | 60.0% | +24.0% | +40.0% |
| Si Woo Kim | 55.0% | +146 DK | 40.7% | +14.4% | +35.3% |
| J.T. Poston | 23.6% | +470 FD | 17.5% | +6.1% | +34.7% |
| Matt McCarty | 15.4% | +750 FD | 11.8% | +3.7% | +31.3% |
| Xander Schauffele | 61.9% | +106 DK | 48.5% | +13.3% | +27.4% |
| Min Woo Lee | 43.4% | +160 FD | 38.5% | +5.0% | +12.9% |
| Alex Smalley | 34.1% | +230 FD | 30.3% | +3.8% | +12.5% |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 59.5% | -120 FD | 54.5% | +5.0% | +9.2% |
| Justin Rose | 33.7% | +220 FD | 31.3% | +2.5% | +7.9% |
| Nico Echavarria | 22.1% | +380 FD | 20.8% | +1.3% | +6.2% |
| Michael Brennan | 35.6% | +180 DK | 35.7% | -0.1% | -0.2% |
| Ben Griffin | 41.4% | +118 DK | 45.9% | -4.5% | -9.8% |
| Collin Morikawa | 47.2% | -112 DK | 52.8% | -5.6% | -10.7% |
| Robert MacIntyre | 34.5% | +145 FD | 40.8% | -6.3% | -15.5% |
| Ludvig Aberg | 61.9% | -350 FD | 77.8% | -15.9% | -20.5% |
| Adam Scott | 35.3% | +125 FD | 44.4% | -9.1% | -20.5% |
| Justin Thomas | 46.9% | -160 FD | 61.5% | -14.6% | -23.7% |
| Patrick Cantlay | 49.8% | -198 DK | 66.4% | -16.6% | -25.0% |
| Aaron Rai | 24.9% | +200 FD | 33.3% | -8.4% | -25.3% |
| Maverick McNealy | 41.5% | -134 DK | 57.3% | -15.8% | -27.6% |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 57.8% | -470 DK | 82.5% | -24.7% | -29.9% |
| Russell Henley | 40.3% | -144 DK | 59.0% | -18.7% | -31.7% |
| Jake Knapp | 39.2% | -138 DK | 58.0% | -18.8% | -32.4% |
| Rory McIlroy | 60.6% | -950 DK | 90.5% | -29.9% | -33.0% |
| Kristoffer Reitan | 32.2% | +106 DK | 48.5% | -16.3% | -33.6% |
| Sungjae Im | 34.5% | -112 DK | 52.8% | -18.3% | -34.6% |
| Michael Thorbjornsen | 42.1% | -192 DK | 65.8% | -23.6% | -36.0% |
| Eric Cole | 24.3% | +156 DK | 39.1% | -14.8% | -37.9% |
| Chris Gotterup | 52.4% | -575 DK | 85.2% | -32.8% | -38.5% |
| Alex Fitzpatrick | 33.5% | -124 DK | 55.4% | -21.9% | -39.5% |
| Akshay Bhatia | 23.8% | +132 DK | 43.1% | -19.3% | -44.7% |
| Wyndham Clark | 43.3% | -500 DK | 83.3% | -40.0% | -48.1% |
| Jacob Bridgeman | 31.0% | -150 DK | 60.0% | -29.0% | -48.3% |
| J.J. Spaun | 40.1% | -350 FD | 77.8% | -37.6% | -48.4% |
| Ryo Hisatsune | 26.1% | -150 DK | 60.0% | -33.9% | -56.5% |
| Gary Woodland | 27.3% | -270 DK | 73.0% | -45.7% | -62.6% |
Nicolai HojgaardEV +327.3%
Model
35.6%
Best
+1100 FD
Implied
8.3%
Edge
+27.3%
Bud CauleyEV +307.3%
Model
33.2%
Best
+1125 DK
Implied
8.2%
Edge
+25.1%
Tom KimEV +168.9%
Model
41.4%
Best
+550 FD
Implied
15.4%
Edge
+26.0%
Kurt KitayamaEV +147.0%
Model
41.2%
Best
+500 FD
Implied
16.7%
Edge
+24.5%
Hideki MatsuyamaEV +121.7%
Model
50.4%
Best
+340 FD
Implied
22.7%
Edge
+27.7%
Sahith TheegalaEV +118.3%
Model
19.8%
Best
+1000 FD
Implied
9.1%
Edge
+10.8%
Ryan FoxEV +110.0%
Model
28.0%
Best
+650 FD
Implied
13.3%
Edge
+14.7%
Alex NorenEV +92.6%
Model
32.1%
Best
+500 FD
Implied
16.7%
Edge
+15.4%
Rickie FowlerEV +76.0%
Model
33.2%
Best
+430 FD
Implied
18.9%
Edge
+14.3%
Viktor HovlandEV +74.0%
Model
49.7%
Best
+250 FD
Implied
28.6%
Edge
+21.1%
Cameron YoungEV +65.1%
Model
56.9%
Best
+190 FD
Implied
34.5%
Edge
+22.4%
Ryan GerardEV +45.2%
Model
42.7%
Best
+240 DK
Implied
29.4%
Edge
+13.3%
Sam BurnsEV +44.6%
Model
55.2%
Best
+162 DK
Implied
38.2%
Edge
+17.0%
Scottie SchefflerEV +40.0%
Model
84.0%
Best
-150 DK
Implied
60.0%
Edge
+24.0%
Si Woo KimEV +35.3%
Model
55.0%
Best
+146 DK
Implied
40.7%
Edge
+14.4%
J.T. PostonEV +34.7%
Model
23.6%
Best
+470 FD
Implied
17.5%
Edge
+6.1%
Matt McCartyEV +31.3%
Model
15.4%
Best
+750 FD
Implied
11.8%
Edge
+3.7%
Xander SchauffeleEV +27.4%
Model
61.9%
Best
+106 DK
Implied
48.5%
Edge
+13.3%
Min Woo LeeEV +12.9%
Model
43.4%
Best
+160 FD
Implied
38.5%
Edge
+5.0%
Alex SmalleyEV +12.5%
Model
34.1%
Best
+230 FD
Implied
30.3%
Edge
+3.8%
Tommy FleetwoodEV +9.2%
Model
59.5%
Best
-120 FD
Implied
54.5%
Edge
+5.0%
Justin RoseEV +7.9%
Model
33.7%
Best
+220 FD
Implied
31.3%
Edge
+2.5%
Nico EchavarriaEV +6.2%
Model
22.1%
Best
+380 FD
Implied
20.8%
Edge
+1.3%
Michael BrennanEV -0.2%
Model
35.6%
Best
+180 DK
Implied
35.7%
Edge
-0.1%
Ben GriffinEV -9.8%
Model
41.4%
Best
+118 DK
Implied
45.9%
Edge
-4.5%
Collin MorikawaEV -10.7%
Model
47.2%
Best
-112 DK
Implied
52.8%
Edge
-5.6%
Robert MacIntyreEV -15.5%
Model
34.5%
Best
+145 FD
Implied
40.8%
Edge
-6.3%
Ludvig AbergEV -20.5%
Model
61.9%
Best
-350 FD
Implied
77.8%
Edge
-15.9%
Adam ScottEV -20.5%
Model
35.3%
Best
+125 FD
Implied
44.4%
Edge
-9.1%
Justin ThomasEV -23.7%
Model
46.9%
Best
-160 FD
Implied
61.5%
Edge
-14.6%
Patrick CantlayEV -25.0%
Model
49.8%
Best
-198 DK
Implied
66.4%
Edge
-16.6%
Aaron RaiEV -25.3%
Model
24.9%
Best
+200 FD
Implied
33.3%
Edge
-8.4%
Maverick McNealyEV -27.6%
Model
41.5%
Best
-134 DK
Implied
57.3%
Edge
-15.8%
Matt FitzpatrickEV -29.9%
Model
57.8%
Best
-470 DK
Implied
82.5%
Edge
-24.7%
Russell HenleyEV -31.7%
Model
40.3%
Best
-144 DK
Implied
59.0%
Edge
-18.7%
Jake KnappEV -32.4%
Model
39.2%
Best
-138 DK
Implied
58.0%
Edge
-18.8%
Rory McIlroyEV -33.0%
Model
60.6%
Best
-950 DK
Implied
90.5%
Edge
-29.9%
Kristoffer ReitanEV -33.6%
Model
32.2%
Best
+106 DK
Implied
48.5%
Edge
-16.3%
Sungjae ImEV -34.6%
Model
34.5%
Best
-112 DK
Implied
52.8%
Edge
-18.3%
Michael ThorbjornsenEV -36.0%
Model
42.1%
Best
-192 DK
Implied
65.8%
Edge
-23.6%
Eric ColeEV -37.9%
Model
24.3%
Best
+156 DK
Implied
39.1%
Edge
-14.8%
Chris GotterupEV -38.5%
Model
52.4%
Best
-575 DK
Implied
85.2%
Edge
-32.8%
Alex FitzpatrickEV -39.5%
Model
33.5%
Best
-124 DK
Implied
55.4%
Edge
-21.9%
Akshay BhatiaEV -44.7%
Model
23.8%
Best
+132 DK
Implied
43.1%
Edge
-19.3%
Wyndham ClarkEV -48.1%
Model
43.3%
Best
-500 DK
Implied
83.3%
Edge
-40.0%
Jacob BridgemanEV -48.3%
Model
31.0%
Best
-150 DK
Implied
60.0%
Edge
-29.0%
J.J. SpaunEV -48.4%
Model
40.1%
Best
-350 FD
Implied
77.8%
Edge
-37.6%
Ryo HisatsuneEV -56.5%
Model
26.1%
Best
-150 DK
Implied
60.0%
Edge
-33.9%
Gary WoodlandEV -62.6%
Model
27.3%
Best
-270 DK
Implied
73.0%
Edge
-45.7%