● Model edgeLive oddsDataGolf model

TOUR Championship

The DataGolf model's probability against the best price on the board. EV% is your expected return per $1 staked at that price — anything green is a positive-EV bet the market is mispricing. Sorted best-EV first.

Bud CauleyEV +1501.6%
Model
6.1%
Best
+26000 DK
Implied
0.4%
Edge
+5.8%
Sepp StrakaEV +1203.0%
Model
2.7%
Best
+49000 DK
Implied
0.2%
Edge
+2.5%
Nicolai HojgaardEV +1014.1%
Model
7.1%
Best
+15500 DK
Implied
0.6%
Edge
+6.5%
Kurt KitayamaEV +515.9%
Model
9.5%
Best
+6400 DK
Implied
1.5%
Edge
+7.9%
Tom KimEV +450.5%
Model
9.0%
Best
+6000 FD
Implied
1.6%
Edge
+7.4%
Hideki MatsuyamaEV +450.3%
Model
13.4%
Best
+4000 DK
Implied
2.4%
Edge
+11.0%
Ryan FoxEV +350.0%
Model
4.5%
Best
+10000 DK
Implied
1.0%
Edge
+3.5%
Cameron YoungEV +274.1%
Model
18.7%
Best
+1900 FD
Implied
5.0%
Edge
+13.7%
Viktor HovlandEV +243.9%
Model
13.2%
Best
+2500 FD
Implied
3.8%
Edge
+9.4%
Alex NorenEV +236.3%
Model
5.4%
Best
+6100 DK
Implied
1.6%
Edge
+3.8%
Sahith TheegalaEV +234.7%
Model
2.6%
Best
+13000 DK
Implied
0.8%
Edge
+1.8%
Scottie SchefflerEV +216.9%
Model
47.3%
Best
+570 DK
Implied
14.9%
Edge
+32.4%
Rickie FowlerEV +211.3%
Model
6.1%
Best
+5000 FD
Implied
2.0%
Edge
+4.1%
Sam BurnsEV +200.8%
Model
17.2%
Best
+1650 DK
Implied
5.7%
Edge
+11.5%
Ryan GerardEV +175.3%
Model
9.5%
Best
+2800 DK
Implied
3.4%
Edge
+6.0%
Si Woo KimEV +152.2%
Model
15.8%
Best
+1500 DK
Implied
6.3%
Edge
+9.5%
Xander SchauffeleEV +139.4%
Model
22.4%
Best
+970 DK
Implied
9.3%
Edge
+13.0%
J.T. PostonEV +63.6%
Model
3.2%
Best
+5000 DK
Implied
2.0%
Edge
+1.2%
Tommy FleetwoodEV +58.5%
Model
18.6%
Best
+750 FD
Implied
11.8%
Edge
+6.9%
Min Woo LeeEV +58.0%
Model
10.4%
Best
+1425 DK
Implied
6.6%
Edge
+3.8%
Justin RoseEV +53.1%
Model
6.7%
Best
+2200 FD
Implied
4.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Alex SmalleyEV +48.2%
Model
6.4%
Best
+2200 FD
Implied
4.3%
Edge
+2.1%
Matt McCartyEV +47.8%
Model
1.5%
Best
+9600 DK
Implied
1.0%
Edge
+0.5%
Michael BrennanEV +28.5%
Model
7.1%
Best
+1700 FD
Implied
5.6%
Edge
+1.6%
Nico EchavarriaEV +25.7%
Model
3.1%
Best
+4000 CZR
Implied
2.4%
Edge
+0.6%
Ben GriffinEV +4.7%
Model
8.5%
Best
+1125 DK
Implied
8.2%
Edge
+0.4%
Collin MorikawaEV +2.9%
Model
11.7%
Best
+780 DK
Implied
11.4%
Edge
+0.3%
Robert MacIntyreEV -3.6%
Model
6.4%
Best
+1400 FD
Implied
6.7%
Edge
-0.2%
Adam ScottEV -18.9%
Model
6.8%
Best
+1100 DK
Implied
8.3%
Edge
-1.6%
Justin ThomasEV -21.5%
Model
12.1%
Best
+550 FD
Implied
15.4%
Edge
-3.3%
Ludvig AbergEV -26.2%
Model
22.4%
Best
+230 FD
Implied
30.3%
Edge
-7.9%
Kristoffer ReitanEV -26.9%
Model
6.1%
Best
+1100 FD
Implied
8.3%
Edge
-2.2%
Maverick McNealyEV -29.9%
Model
9.3%
Best
+650 FD
Implied
13.3%
Edge
-4.0%
Patrick CantlayEV -30.0%
Model
13.2%
Best
+430 FD
Implied
18.9%
Edge
-5.7%
Aaron RaiEV -30.4%
Model
3.3%
Best
+2000 FD
Implied
4.8%
Edge
-1.4%
Russell HenleyEV -36.5%
Model
8.5%
Best
+650 FD
Implied
13.3%
Edge
-4.9%
Jake KnappEV -37.2%
Model
9.0%
Best
+600 FD
Implied
14.3%
Edge
-5.3%
Eric ColeEV -43.3%
Model
3.5%
Best
+1500 DK
Implied
6.3%
Edge
-2.7%
Sungjae ImEV -43.7%
Model
6.5%
Best
+770 DK
Implied
11.5%
Edge
-5.0%
Michael ThorbjornsenEV -48.1%
Model
9.8%
Best
+430 FD
Implied
18.9%
Edge
-9.1%
Alex FitzpatrickEV -53.0%
Model
6.0%
Best
+680 DK
Implied
12.8%
Edge
-6.8%
Matt FitzpatrickEV -53.2%
Model
17.3%
Best
+170 DK
Implied
37.0%
Edge
-19.7%
Akshay BhatiaEV -55.7%
Model
3.4%
Best
+1200 DK
Implied
7.7%
Edge
-4.3%
Jacob BridgemanEV -60.0%
Model
5.3%
Best
+650 FD
Implied
13.3%
Edge
-8.0%
Rory McIlroyEV -61.2%
Model
21.2%
Best
-120 DK
Implied
54.5%
Edge
-33.4%
Chris GotterupEV -63.4%
Model
15.3%
Best
+140 CZR
Implied
41.7%
Edge
-26.4%
J.J. SpaunEV -73.6%
Model
8.2%
Best
+220 FD
Implied
31.3%
Edge
-23.0%
Wyndham ClarkEV -73.8%
Model
10.4%
Best
+152 DK
Implied
39.7%
Edge
-29.3%
Ryo HisatsuneEV -74.7%
Model
3.9%
Best
+550 FD
Implied
15.4%
Edge
-11.5%
Gary WoodlandEV -83.8%
Model
4.4%
Best
+270 DK
Implied
27.0%
Edge
-22.6%
How to read this

Model: DataGolf's probability for this market. Implied: the probability baked into the best price (vig included). Edge: model minus implied. EV: expected return per $1 staked — positive is +EV. Matched 50 players.